ADP data released before: The probability that the Federal Reserve will remain unchanged tonight is 96.9%.

Jinshi data, July 31 news, according to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed maintaining the Intrerest Rate unchanged this week is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.1%. The probability of the Fed maintaining the Intrerest Rate unchanged until September is 0%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 87.7%, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 12.0%, and the cumulative probability of a 75 basis point rate cut is 0.2%.